Maths Olympiad Prep

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, 2019

Algebra Difficulty 5.9 AIME, harder Prove it United States

Problem:

Dan is walking down the left side of a street in New York City and must cross to the right side at one of 10 crosswalks he will pass. Each time he arrives at a crosswalk, however, he must wait tt seconds, where tt is selected uniformly at random from the real interval [0,60][0,60] (tt can be different at different crosswalks). Because the wait time is conveniently displayed on the signal across the street, Dan employs the following strategy: if the wait time when he arrives at the crosswalk is no more than kk seconds, he crosses. Otherwise, he immediately moves on to the next crosswalk. If he arrives at the last crosswalk and has not crossed yet, then he crosses regardless of the wait time. Find the value of kk which minimizes his expected wait time.

Solution

Solution:

With probability (1k60)9\left(1-\frac{k}{60}\right)^{9}, Dan reaches the last crosswalk without crossing at any previous site, in which case the expected value of his wait time is 30 seconds. Otherwise, with probability 1(1k60)91-\left(1-\frac{k}{60}\right)^{9}, Dan crosses at an earlier crosswalk, in which case the expected value of his wait time is k2\frac{k}{2}. We want to find the kk that minimizes
30(1k60)9+k2(1(1k60)9)=30(30k2)(1(1k60)9) 30\left(1-\frac{k}{60}\right)^{9}+\frac{k}{2}\left(1-\left(1-\frac{k}{60}\right)^{9}\right)=30-\left(30-\frac{k}{2}\right)\left(1-\left(1-\frac{k}{60}\right)^{9}\right)
Letting a=1k60a=1-\frac{k}{60}, we can use weighted AM-GM:
9110(a(1a9))910=(9a9)110(1a9)910910 9^{\frac{1}{10}}\left(a\left(1-a^{9}\right)\right)^{\frac{9}{10}}=\left(9 a^{9}\right)^{\frac{1}{10}}\left(1-a^{9}\right)^{\frac{9}{10}} \leq \frac{9}{10}
where equality occurs when 9a9=1a99 a^{9}=1-a^{9}, or a=(110)19a=\left(\frac{1}{10}\right)^{\frac{1}{9}}, meaning that k=60(1(110)19)k=60\left(1-\left(\frac{1}{10}\right)^{\frac{1}{9}}\right). Because our original expression can be written as
3030a(1a9), 30-30 a\left(1-a^{9}\right),
the minimum occurs at the same value, k=60(1(110)19)k=60\left(1-\left(\frac{1}{10}\right)^{\frac{1}{9}}\right).

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Source: MathNet, licensed CC-BY-4.0. Statement reproduced verbatim; metadata (topic, difficulty) added by this project.