Solution:
We shall prove that the first player wins if and only if the exponent of 2 in the prime decomposition of n−3 is odd.
Since the game is identical for both players, has finitely many possible states and always terminates, we can label the possible states Wins or Losses according as whether a player faced with that position has a winning strategy or not. A state is a Win if and only if there is some legal move taking the state to a Loss, and a state is a Loss if and only if all moves take that state to a Win (including the case where there are no legal moves).
Lemma. Any configuration in which the triangle formed by the three counters is not isosceles is necessarily a Win.
Proof. Label the positions of the counters X,Y,Z so that the arc YZ of the circumcircle is shortest and the arcZX is longest. Begin by moving the counter at Z around the polygon on the arc YZX until it forms an isosceles triangle XYZ′ with apex at Y (note that the arcXY is less than half the circle, so that Z does not jump over the counter at X). If this configuration is a Loss, we are done.
If instead this configuration is a Win, then the counters can be moved legally from triangle XYZ′ to reach a losing state. This cannot involve the counter at Y, so by symmetry a Loss state can be reached by moving the counter at Z′ to a new location Z′′. But then the counter at Z could have been moved to Z′′ in the first place, so the original configuration was a Win as well.
For every nonzero integer x, denote by v2(x) the exponent of 2 in the prime decomposition of x. Now, given a configuration in which the triangle formed by the three counters is isosceles, the arcs between the vertices having lengths a,a,b respectively (in appropriate units so that 2a+b=n), we show that the configuration is a Win if and only if a=b and v2(a−b) is odd.
Write b=a±∣a−b∣ and notice that the only other isosceles triangle that can be reached from the original configuration is one with arc lengths a,a±∣a−b∣/2,a±∣a−b∣/2. If ∣a−b∣ is odd, this is of course impossible, so the configuration is a Loss, since all non-isosceles configurations are Wins, by the lemma.
If instead ∣a−b∣ is even, then all states that can be reached from the original configuration are Wins, except possibly the state with arc lengths a,a±∣a−b∣/2,a±∣a−b∣/2. Consequently, (a,a,b) is a Win if and only if (a,a±∣a−b∣/2,a±∣a−b∣/2) is a Loss. Since the side lengths of this new triangle differ by ∣a−b∣/2, the conclusion follows inductively once the exceptional and trivial case a=b is dealt with.
As an immediate corollary, the configuration with arc lengths 1,1,n−2 (the starting configuration of the question) is a Win if and only if v2(n−3) is odd.