Maths Olympiad Prep

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Combinatorics Difficulty 5.3 AIME, harder Find the answer Philippines

Problem:

Kyle secretly selects a subset of {1,2,3,4}\{1,2,3,4\}. Albert also secretly selects a subset of {1,2,3,4}\{1,2,3,4\}. What is the probability that their chosen subsets have at least one element in common?

A number or a short expression. Fractions can be typed as 3/2, and spacing doesn't matter.

Solution

Solution:

Let AA and BB be the subsets selected by Kyle and Albert, respectively. We first find the probability that two subsets AA and BB are disjoint. For each k{0,1,,4}k \in \{0,1, \ldots, 4\}, we choose an arbitrary subset AA with kk elements. In order for AA and BB to be disjoint, BB must be a subset of the complement {1,2,3,4}\A\{1,2,3,4\} \backslash A with 4k4-k elements. Thus, for each k{0,1,,4}k \in \{0,1, \ldots, 4\}, there are (4k)\binom{4}{k} subsets with kk elements and fixing one of such subsets (say AA), there are 24k2^{4-k} choices for BB (note that 24k2^{4-k} is the number of subsets of {1,2,3,4}\A\{1,2,3,4\} \backslash A). We see that the number of ordered pairs (A,B)(A, B) of subsets with AB=A \cap B = \varnothing is
k=04(4k)24k=16k=04(4k)(12)k=16(1+12)4=81 \sum_{k=0}^{4} \binom{4}{k} 2^{4-k} = 16 \sum_{k=0}^{4} \binom{4}{k} \left(\frac{1}{2}\right)^k = 16\left(1+\frac{1}{2}\right)^4 = 81
As there are 24=162^4 = 16 subsets of {1,2,3,4}\{1,2,3,4\}, there are 162=25616^2 = 256 possible ordered pairs of subsets. Hence, the probability that two subsets AA and BB are disjoint is 81256\frac{81}{256} and the probability that AA and BB have at least one element in common is 181256=1752561 - \frac{81}{256} = \frac{175}{256}.

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