CombinatoricsDifficulty 4.8AIMEProve itUnited States
Problem:
Four points, A, B, C, and D, are chosen randomly on the circumference of a circle with independent uniform probability. What is the expected number of sides of triangle ABC for which the projection of D onto the line containing the side lies between the two vertices?
Solution
Solution:
By linearity of expectations, the answer is exactly 3 times the probability that the orthogonal projection of D onto AB lies interior to the segment. This happens exactly when either ∠DAB or ∠DBA is obtuse, which is equivalent to saying that A and B lie on the same side of the diameter through D. This happens with probability 1/2. Therefore, desired answer is 3/2.
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Source: MathNet,
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