Xiao Li walks from home to work at the company. The company requires employees to arrive no later than 8:00 a.m., otherwise it will be considered late. Xiao Li needs to pass through 4 intersections on the way to work, and the probability of encountering a red light at each intersection is , and they are independent of each other. It is known that the average waiting time for each red light is 1 minute. If Xiao Li does not encounter any red lights, he can arrive at the company in just 10 minutes. Find: The latest time Xiao Li should leave home to ensure a probability of being not late higher than 90%; If Xiao Li leaves home at 7:48 a.m. for two consecutive days, the probability of being late on exactly one day; The average duration of Xiao Li's journey to work.
Solution
### Problem Solution Rewritten in Step-by-Step Format
#### Part (1): Latest Time Xiao Li Should Leave Home
- Case of Leaving at 7:46 a.m.: Xiao Li will definitely not be late because the journey without red lights takes 10 minutes, arriving at 7:56 a.m.
- Case of Leaving at 7:47 a.m.: Xiao Li will be late only if he encounters 4 red lights. The probability of this happening is calculated as:
Thus, the probability of not being late is:
- Case of Leaving at 7:48 a.m.: Xiao Li will be late if he encounters 3 or 4 red lights. The probability of being late is calculated as:
Therefore, the probability of not being late is:
To ensure a probability of not being late higher than 90%, Xiao Li should leave home at
#### Part (2): Probability of Being Late on Exactly One Day
- Given the probability of being late when leaving at 7:48 a.m. is , and the probability of not being late is .
- The probability of being late on exactly one day out of two is calculated using the binomial formula:
Therefore, the probability is .
#### Part (3): Average Duration of Xiao Li's Journey to Work
- The possible journey times and their probabilities are calculated as follows:
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- The average duration, , is calculated as:
Therefore, the average duration of Xiao Li's journey to work is .