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Combinatorics Difficulty 3.7 AMC 10/12 Find the answer

Johann has 6464 fair coins. He flips all the coins. Any coin that lands on tails is tossed again. Coins that land on tails on the second toss are tossed a third time. What is the expected number of coins that are now heads?

Pick one

Solution

We can simplify the problem first, then apply reasoning to the original problem. Let's say that there are 88 coins. Shaded coins flip heads, and blank coins flip tails. So, after the first flip;

Figure (Asymptote source)
filldraw(circle((-5,0),0.35),white); filldraw(circle((-4,0),0.35),white); filldraw(circle((-3,0),0.35),white); filldraw(circle((-2,0),0.35),white); filldraw(circle((-1,0),0.35),black); filldraw(circle((-0,0),0.35),black); filldraw(circle((1,0),0.35),black); filldraw(circle((2,0),0.35),black);

Then, after the second (new heads in blue);
Figure (Asymptote source)
filldraw(circle((-5,0),0.35),white); filldraw(circle((-4,0),0.35),white); filldraw(circle((-3,0),0.35),blue); filldraw(circle((-2,0),0.35),blue); filldraw(circle((-1,0),0.35),black); filldraw(circle((-0,0),0.35),black); filldraw(circle((1,0),0.35),black); filldraw(circle((2,0),0.35),black);

And after the third (new head in green);
Figure (Asymptote source)
filldraw(circle((-5,0),0.35),white); filldraw(circle((-4,0),0.35),green); filldraw(circle((-3,0),0.35),blue); filldraw(circle((-2,0),0.35),blue); filldraw(circle((-1,0),0.35),black); filldraw(circle((-0,0),0.35),black); filldraw(circle((1,0),0.35),black); filldraw(circle((2,0),0.35),black);

So in total, 77 of the 88 coins resulted in heads. Now we have the ratio of 78\frac{7}{8} of the total coins will end up heads. Therefore, we have 7864=(D) 56\frac{7}{8}\cdot64=\boxed{\mathbf{(D)}\ 56}

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Source: NuminaMath-1.5, licensed Apache-2.0. Statement and solution reproduced as published; topic and difficulty added by this site.