Ellie’s drawer of hair clips contains 4 red clips, 5 blue clips,
and 7 green clips. Each morning, she randomly chooses one hair clip to
wear for the day. She returns this clip to the drawer each evening. One
morning, Kyne removes hair clips
before Ellie can make her daily selection. As a result, the probability
that Ellie chooses a red clip is doubled. Which of the following is a
possible value of ?
Problem 586
Pick one
Official solution
Before Kyne removes hair clips, Ellie has 4 red clips and clips in total, so the
probability that she randomly chooses a red clip is which equals .
After Kyne removes the clips, the probability that Ellie chooses a red
clip is or
.
Since Ellie starts with 4 red clips, then after Kyne removes some clips,
Ellie must have 4, 3, 2, 1, or 0 red clips.
Since the probability that Ellie chooses a red clip is larger than 0,
she cannot have 0 red clips.
Since the probability of her choosing a red clip is , then the total number of
clips that she has after are
removed must be twice the number of red clips, so could be 8, 6, 4, or
2.
Thus, the possible values of are
or or or .
Of these, 12 is one of the given possibilities. (One possibility is that
Kyne removes 2 of the red clips, 5 of the blue clips and 5 of the green
clips, leaving 2 red clips and 2 green clips.)