Maths Olympiad Prep

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Problem 586

AMC 10/12, early questions
Combinatorics Difficulty 3.7 Multiple choice CEMC Pascal · Canada · 2023

Ellie’s drawer of hair clips contains 4 red clips, 5 blue clips,
and 7 green clips. Each morning, she randomly chooses one hair clip to
wear for the day. She returns this clip to the drawer each evening. One
morning, Kyne removes kk hair clips
before Ellie can make her daily selection. As a result, the probability
that Ellie chooses a red clip is doubled. Which of the following is a
possible value of kk?

Pick one

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Official solution

Before Kyne removes hair clips, Ellie has 4 red clips and 4+5+7=164 + 5 + 7 = 16 clips in total, so the
probability that she randomly chooses a red clip is 416\frac{4}{16} which equals 14\frac{1}{4}.

After Kyne removes the clips, the probability that Ellie chooses a red
clip is 2×142 \times \frac{1}{4} or
12\frac{1}{2}.

Since Ellie starts with 4 red clips, then after Kyne removes some clips,
Ellie must have 4, 3, 2, 1, or 0 red clips.

Since the probability that Ellie chooses a red clip is larger than 0,
she cannot have 0 red clips.

Since the probability of her choosing a red clip is 12\frac{1}{2}, then the total number of
clips that she has after kk are
removed must be twice the number of red clips, so could be 8, 6, 4, or
2.

Thus, the possible values of kk are
168=816 - 8 = 8 or 166=1016 - 6 = 10 or 164=1216 - 4 = 12 or 162=1416 - 2 = 14.

Of these, 12 is one of the given possibilities. (One possibility is that
Kyne removes 2 of the red clips, 5 of the blue clips and 5 of the green
clips, leaving 2 red clips and 2 green clips.)

Source: CEMC, University of Waterloo, licensed CC-BY-NC-4.0. Statement reproduced verbatim; metadata (topic, difficulty, ordering) added by this project.