Maths Olympiad Prep

Library / /51 of 68

, 2017

Combinatorics Difficulty 5.8 AIME, harder Find the answer United States

Problem:

Kelvin and 15 other frogs are in a meeting, for a total of 16 frogs. During the meeting, each pair of distinct frogs becomes friends with probability 12\frac{1}{2}. Kelvin thinks the situation after the meeting is cool if for each of the 16 frogs, the number of friends they made during the meeting is a multiple of 4. Say that the probability of the situation being cool can be expressed in the form ab\frac{a}{b}, where aa and bb are relatively prime. Find aa.

A number or a short expression. Fractions can be typed as 3/2, and spacing doesn't matter.

Solution

Solution:

Consider the multivariate polynomial
1i<j16(1+xixj) \prod_{1 \leq i<j \leq 16}\left(1+x_{i} x_{j}\right)
We're going to filter this by summing over all 4164^{16} 16-tuples (x1,x2,,x16)\left(x_{1}, x_{2}, \ldots, x_{16}\right) such that xj=±1,±ix_{j}= \pm 1, \pm i. Most of these evaluate to 0 because i2=(i)2=1i^{2}=(-i)^{2}=-1, and 11=11 \cdot-1=-1. If you do this filtering, you get the following 4 cases:

Case 1: Neither of ii or i-i appears. Then the only cases we get are when all the xjx_{j} are 1, or they're all -1. Total is 21202^{120}. (120=(162).)\left(120=\binom{16}{2}.\right)

Case 2: ii appears, but i-i does not. Then all the remaining xjx_{j} must be all 1 or all -1. This contributes a sum of (1+i)152105+(1i)152105=2113(1+i)^{15} \cdot 2^{105}+(1-i)^{15} \cdot 2^{105}=2^{113}. ii can be at any position, so we get 16211316 \cdot 2^{113}.

Case 3: i-i appears, but ii does not. Same contribution as above. 16211316 \cdot 2^{113}.

Case 4: Both ii and i-i appear. Then all the rest of the xjx_{j} must be all 1 or all -1. This contributes a sum of 2(1+i(i))(1+i)14(1i)14291=2107i2 \cdot(1+i(-i)) \cdot(1+i)^{14} \cdot(1-i)^{14} \cdot 2^{91}=2^{107} \cdot i and i-i can appear in 161516 \cdot 15 places, so we get 2402107240 \cdot 2^{107}.

So the final answer is this divided a factor for our filter. (416=232\left(4^{16}=2^{32}\right..) So our final answer is 289+16282+2402752120=1167241\frac{2^{89}+16 \cdot 2^{82}+240 \cdot 2^{75}}{2^{120}}=\frac{1167}{2^{41}}.

Therefore, the answer is 1167 .

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Source: MathNet, licensed CC-BY-4.0. Statement reproduced verbatim; metadata (topic, difficulty) added by this project.