Maths Olympiad Prep

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Algebra Difficulty 2.9 Junior Find the answer

The probability that a certain animal lives to be 2020 years old is 0.80.8, and the probability that it lives to be 2525 years old is 0.50.5. What is the probability that the animal, which is currently 2020 years old, will live to be 2525 years old?

Pick one

Solution

To solve this problem, we start with the given probabilities:

- The probability that the animal lives to be 2020 years old is 0.80.8.
- The probability that it lives to be 2525 years old is 0.50.5.

We are asked to find the probability that an animal, which is currently 2020 years old, will live to be 2525 years old. This can be found by dividing the probability of living to 2525 by the probability of living to 2020, because we are conditioning on the event that the animal has already lived to 2020.

Therefore, the calculation is as follows:

Probability=Probability of living to 25 years oldProbability of living to 20 years old=0.50.8=58=0.625. \text{Probability} = \frac{\text{Probability of living to 25 years old}}{\text{Probability of living to 20 years old}} = \frac{0.5}{0.8} = \frac{5}{8} = 0.625.

Thus, the probability that the animal, currently 2020 years old, will live to be 2525 years old is 0.6250.625.

So, the correct answer is B\boxed{B}.

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Source: NuminaMath-1.5, licensed Apache-2.0. Statement and solution reproduced as published; topic and difficulty added by this site.